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Сотрудники


Yuri Bogdanovich Kirsta

Доктор биологических наук. Профессор
Главный научный сотрудник.

* Birth date: August 22, 1951
* Citizenship: Russia
* Languages: Russian, English

M.Sc. in Physics and Applied mathematics, M.Sc. in Molecular biology, Ph.D. (Biology/Ecology), D.Sc. (Biology/Ecology), ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8990-3190

EDUCATION AND DEGREES
* Novosibirsk State University (M.Sc. in Physics and Applied Mathematics), 1968-1975
* Moscow State University (M.Sc. in Molecular Biology), 1975-1976
* Postgraduate course at the Desert Institute (specialization in system approach and modelling), 1978-1981
* Candidate Degree (Ph.D. in Biology/Ecology), 1983 (Modelling the Production of Vegetation in Desert Ecosystems)
* Doctoral Degree (D.Sc. in Biology/Ecology), 1994 (Structural-Functional Organization of the Biosphere: Information-Hierarchical Approach)
* Title of Professor in Experimental Physics, 2008

HONORS
* Laureate of the Lenin Komsomol Prize in Science and Technology, 1984
* Honorary title “Honored Worker of Higher Professional Education of the Russian Federation”, 2009
Inclusion in:
* "Outstanding People of the 20th Century, 2nd Edition" (International Biographical Centre of Cambridge, England, 2000)
* "2000 Outstanding Scientists of the 20th Century, 2nd Edition" (International Biographical Centre of Cambridge, England, 2000)

PROFESSIONAL EXPERIENCE
* Principle researcher at the Laboratory of biogeochemistry of the Institute for Water and Environmental Problems (http://en.iwep.ru/), Siberian Branch of the Russian Academy of Sciences, Barnaul, 2009-present
* Principle researcher at the Laboratory of Informatics and Laboratory of Hydrophysics & Ecology of the Institute for Water and Environmental Problems, Siberian Branch of the Russian Academy of Sciences, Barnaul, 1987-2005
* Postgraduate, Junior researcher and Senior researcher at the Laboratory of Desert Ecosystem Modelling and Laboratory of Ecology of Pastures of the Desert Institute, Academy of Sciences of the Turkmen SSR, Ashkhabad, 1978-1987 – scientific investigations, holding annual Olympiads in the Small Academy of Sciences (for schoolchildren of Turkmenistan)
* Research engineer at the Laboratory of Mathematical Modelling of the All-Union Institute of Molecular Biology, Novosibirsk, 1976-1978

TEACHING EXPERIENCE
* Professor at the Department of Experimental Physics, Altai State Technical University, Barnaul, 2003-2018 – giving lectures on Physics (Physical foundations of mechanics, Vibrations and waves, Molecular physics and thermodynamics, Electricity and magnetism, Optics, Atomic and nuclear physics), Synergetics, Probabilistic methods and statistics; holding physical workshops
* Head of the Department of Management Methodology, Altai State Technical University, Barnaul, 2004-2007 – giving lectures on General management theory
* Professor at the Altai Economic-Law Institute, Barnaul, 1998-2005 – giving lectures on Nature management, Economics and ecology of nature management
* Professor at the Department of International Economic Relations, Altai State Technical University, Barnaul, 1997-1998 – giving lectures on Social ecology
* Professor at the Department of Geoecology and Nature Management, Altai State University, Barnaul, 1993-2003 – giving lectures on General ecology, Social ecology, Human ecology; supervising term papers and dissertations; management of graduate students: holding annual Olympiads in ecology (for schoolchildren of Altai Krai)

FIELDS OF SPECIALIZATION
* System-hierarchical analysis and system-analytical modeling of complex natural systems (biological, ecological, biochemical, climatic, social) [many publications]
* Modelling the agroecological systems [17-27, 33, 40, 45, 76, 80]
* Modelling the Hydrological and hydrochemical runoff of rivers [many publications after 2011]
* General, social and human ecology [2-27, 45]
* Climate change forecast [19, 27-30, 31-34, 38-40, 42-45, 47, 59, 64, 66, 68, 76, 80]
* Information exchange in evolutionary systems [6-12, 14-16, 31-32, 38, 45, 47-48, 59-60, 77]
* Biological, human and social clocks [1, 11, 45, 60, 74, 77]
* World Dynamics [16, 21, 31-32, 38, 45, 47-48, 59, 74]
* Quantum physics [12, 14, 45]

PUBLICATIONS
Author and co-author of more than 150 refereed scientific and scientific-pedagogical papers and books. Main publications:

1. E.E. Sel'kov, S.N. Dynnik, Y.B. Kirsta, 1979. Qualitative study of a mathematical model of the open futile cycle fructose-6-P↔fructose-1,6-P2. Biophysics (English Translation of Biofizika) 24(3): 443-450. https://eurekamag.com/research/029/013/029013950.php

2. Y.B. Kirsta, 1982. Mathematical model of plant development cycle in main phytocenosises of Central Karakum. Proceedings of the Academy of Sciences of the Turkmen SSR. Biological Series, 2: 30-37 (in Russian)

3. Y.B. Kirsta, 1986. Balance model of soil moisture dynamics in arid lands. In: E.K. Balakirev (ed.) Hydrometeorology of Turkmenistan. Ylym Publishing House, Ashkhabad, p. 23-47 (in Russian)

4. Y.B. Kirsta, 1986. Modelling of Desert Ecosystems. Ylym Publishing House, Ashkhabad, 144 p. (in Russian)

5. Y.B. Kirsta, 1986. The model of plant productivity for monitoring desert ecosystems. Botanicheskii Zhurnal, 71(1): 23-33 (in Russian). https://eurekamag.com/research/006/719/006719507.php

6. Y.B. Kirsta, 1990. Dynamics of natural evolutional systems: The main principles of organization. Problemy Osvoeniya Pustyn’, 5: 21-27 (in Russian). https://eurekamag.com/research/031/025/031025359.php

7. Y.B. Kirsta, 1991. Dynamics of natural evolutional systems: Hierarchical levels of ecosystems. Problemy Osvoeniya Pustyn’, 1: 14-21 (in Russian). https://eurekamag.com/research/007/232/007232855.php

8. Y.B. Kirsta, 1991. Dynamics of natural evolutional systems: Hierarchical levels of molecular-genetic interactions. Problemy Osvoeniya Pustyn’, 3-4: 76-82 (in Russian). https://eurekamag.com/research/031/025/031025358.php

9. Y.B. Kirsta, 1992. Dynamics of natural evolutional systems: Hierarchical levels of photosynthesis. Problemy Osvoeniya Pustyn’, 5: 34-42 (in Russian). https://eurekamag.com/research/008/508/008508460.php

10. Y.B. Kirsta, 1992. Time-dynamic quantization of molecular-genetic, photosynthesis and ecosystem hierarchical levels of the biosphere. Ecological Modelling, 62: 259-274. https://doi.org/10.1016/0304-3800(92)90002-V

11. Y.B. Kirsta, V.A. Tarabrin, 1994. Real biological time and its calculation in wheat. Ecological Modelling, 71: 259-267. https://doi.org/10.1016/0304-3800(94)90137-6

12. Y.B. Kirsta, 1994. Exchange of information in natural hierarchical systems. Ecological Modelling, 73: 269-280. https://doi.org/10.1016/0304-3800(94)90065-5

13. Y.B. Kirsta, 1995. The ethnoecological concept of education development in Siberian region. In: Proceedings of UNESCO International Conference: Education in Polycultural Society. UNESCO. Barnaul, p. 117-119 (in Russian)

14. Y.B. Kirsta, 1995. Information interaction of natural hierarchical systems. Problemy Osvoeniya Pustyn', 1995(3): 24-32 (in Russian). https://eurekamag.com/research/008/873/008873190.php

15. Y.B. Kirsta, 1997. Sustainable development of Russia ethnoecosystem is a strategic task of ecological education in Siberia. In: Ecological Education for Sustainable Development. Collection of Scientific Works. UNESCO. Barnaul, p. 57-65 (in Russian)

16. Y.B. Kirsta, 1998. Sustainable development of Russia: System information-hierarchical approach. In: Ecology of Man. Edition of International Chair of UNESCO. Vol.1. Publishing House of Russian Academy of Sciences, Novosibirsk, p. 293-305 (in Russian)

17. Y.B. Kirsta, I.S. Postnova, 1998. GIS-project: forecast of grain-crop yield in Siberian region. In: GIS for Nature Management Optimization for Sustainable Development of Territories. Altai University Publishing House, Barnaul, p. 563-566 (in Russian)

18. Y.B. Kirsta, T.A. Belotoronina, 2001. System-analytical modeling of moisture exchange in Siberian soils. Bulletin of Altai State Agricultural University, 4(4): 145-151 (in Russian). https://www.elibrary.ru/item.asp?id=26725839

19. Y.B. Kirsta, 2001. Information-hierarchical organization of biosphere and problems of its sustainable development. Ecological Modelling, 145(1): 49-59. https://doi.org/10.1016/S0304-3800(01)00382-9

20. Y.B. Kirsta, O.N. Baryshnikova, N.F. Kharlamova, 2003. The influence of regional manifestations of global climate change and human activity on the development of desertification for the South of Western Siberia. In: Kulundinskaya Steppe: Past, Present, Future. Altai University Publishing House, Barnaul, p. 137-147 (in Russian)

21. Y.B. Kirsta, 2003. Information-hierarchical organization of mankind and problems of its sustainable development. World Futures. 59(6): 401-420. https://doi.org/10.1080/02604020310142

22. Y.B. Kirsta, 2003. Information basis of the Le Chatelier principle. Geografiâ i prirodopolʹzovanie Sibiri, 6: 151-160 (in Russian). https://www.elibrary.ru/item.asp?id=21665349

23. Y.B. Kirsta, 2004. System-analytical modeling of change of temperature, precipitation and agroclimatic potential in Siberia. Siberian Ecological Journal, 1: 87-101 (in Russian). https://www.sibran.ru/journals/issue.php?ID=120593&ARTICLE_ID=124349

24. Y.B. Kirsta, 2004. Modeling of water exchange in Siberian soils. Polzunovskiy VESTNIK, 2: 205-213 (in Russian). http://elib.altstu.ru/journals/Files/pv2004_02/pdf/205Krista.pdf

25. Y.B. Kirsta, L.A. Khvorova, T.A. Belotoronina, 2004. Identification of parameters of the model of moisture exchange in soils. Polzunovskiy VESTNIK, 2: 214-216 (in Russian). http://elib.altstu.ru/journals/Files/pv2004_02/pdf/214Krista.pdf

26. Y.B. Kirsta, 2006. System-analytical modelling. Part I: General principles and theoretically best accuracies of ecological models. Soil moisture exchange in agroecosystems. Ecological Modelling, 191(3-4): 315-330. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ecolmodel.2005.05.028

27. Y.B. Kirsta, 2006, System-analytical modelling. Part II: Wheat biotime run and yield formation. Agroclimatic potential, Le Chatelier principle, changes in agroclimatic potential and climate in Russia and the U.S. Ecological Modelling, 191(3-4): 331-345. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ecolmodel.2005.05.027

28. Y.B. Kirsta, B.Y. Kirsta, 2008. Information-physical regularities of climatic dynamics. Analysis of experimental data. Yugra State University Bulletin, 1(8): 47-59 (in Russian). https://wwwold.ugrasu.ru/upload/iblock/c0d/c0d096e73dbf6aa31fea904f4ef6f357.pdf

29. Y.B. Kirsta, O.V. Lovtskaya, 2009. The forecast of climatic changes in grain-producing areas of Siberia and Russia. World of Science, Culture and Education (Mir Nauki, Kul’tury, Obrazovaniya), 7(19): 9-13 (in Russian). http://amnko.ru/index.php/english/journals/

30. Y.B. Kirsta, O.V. Lovtskaya, 2010. Simulation and forecast of climate in Russia till 2020. Fundamental Problems of Water and Water resources: Proceedings of III Russian Scientific Conference. Institute for Water and Environmental Problems SB RAS, Barnaul, p. 387-390 (in Russian).

31. Y.B. Kirsta, 2010. Information-hierarchical organization of natural systems I: The information-physical principle. World Futures, 66(7): 459-469. https://doi.org/10.1080/02604027.2010.503547

32. Y.B. Kirsta, V.Yu, 2010. Kirsta. Information-hierarchical organization of natural systems II: Futures of Man-Biosphere Interactions and Climate Control. World Futures, 66(8): 537-556. https://doi.org/10.1080/02604027.2010.503548

33. Y.B. Kirsta, 2011. The forecast of both climate and agroclimatic potential in Siberian Federal Okrug till 2020. Regional Environmental Issues, 3: 22-30 (in Russian). https://elibrary.ru/item.asp?id=16567542

34. Y.B. Kirsta, 2011. Spatial generalization of climatic characteristics in mountain areas. World of Science, Culture and Education (Mir Nauki, Kul’tury, Obrazovaniya), (28): 330-337 (in Russian). http://amnko.ru/index.php/english/journals/

35. Y.B. Kirsta, L.F. Lubenets, D.V. Chernykh, 2011. Typological classification of landscapes for river flow estimation in Altai-Sayan mountainous country. Sustainable Development of Mountain Territories, 2(8): 51-56 (in Russian). http://naukagor.ru/Portals/4/2011/2011,%20%E2%84%962.pdf?ver=2020-07-31-001511-543

36. Y.B. Kirsta, A.V. Puzanov, O.V. Lovtskaya, L.F. Lubenets, Ya.E. Kuznyak, A.Y. Pakhotnova, 2012. Simulation mathematical model of runoff for mid-size and small rivers in mountain territories. Izvestia of Samara Scientific Center of the Russian Academy of Sciences, 14, N 1(9): 2334-2342 (in Russian). https://doi.org/10.24412/Fd1kFw4CDjU

37. Y.B. Kirsta, A.V. Puzanov, O.V. Lovtskaya, L.F. Lubenets, 2012. Universal mathematical model of suspended matter runoff for mountain river basins. Sustainable Development of Mountain Territories, 3: 175-182 (in Russian). http://naukagor.ru/Portals/4/2012/%E2%84%963,%202012.pdf?ver=2020-07-31-001646-433

38. Y.B. Kirsta, 2013. Interrelation between biosphere and sociosphere and climate formation. In: Proceedings of V Conference on Systems analysis and Information Technologies, SAIT-2013. Vol. 2. Institute of Computational Modeling SB RAS, Krasnoyarsk, 155-165 (in Russian). http://www.isa.ru/sait2013/

39. Y.B. Kirsta, N.Y. Kurepina, O.V. Lovtskaya, 2013. Territorial decomposition of rhythmics of Eurasia meteorological fields. Izvestia of Samara Scientific Center of the Russian Academy of Sciences, 15, N 3(2): 643-647 (in Russian). https://cyberleninka.ru/article/n/territorialnaya-dekompozitsiya-ritmiki-meteorologicheskih-poley-evrazii

40. Y.B. Kirsta, N.Y. Kurepina, O.V. Lovtskaya, 2013. The forecast of climate and agroclimatic potential in Altai Krai up to 2020. Bulletin of Altai State Agricultural University, 1(99): 27-32 (in Russian). https://cyberleninka.ru/article/n/prognoz-klimata-i-agroklimaticheskogo-potentsiala-altayskogo-kraya-do-2020-goda

41. Y.B. Kirsta, A.V. Puzanov, S.V. Baboshkina, 2013. Model of suspended matter runoff and evaluation of long-term average discharge of heavy metals based on single observations. Izvestia of Samara Scientific Center of the Russian Academy of Sciences, 15, N 3(3): 921-926 (in Russian). https://doi.org/10.24412/Fd1kFyGyDwc

42. Y.B. Kirsta, N.Y. Kurepina, O.V. Lovtskaya, 2014. Spatial decomposition of meteorological fields of Eurasia: Separation of effects of vegetation and anthropogenic activity. Fundamental Investigations, 5(Part 5): 1030-1036 (in Russian). https://fundamental-research.ru/ru/article/view?id=34039

43. Y.B. Kirsta, N.Y. Kurepina, O.V. Lovtskaya, 2014. Decomposition of meteorological fields in the Northern Hemisphere: 1. Method of spatial clustering of continental meteorological fields. International journal of applied and fundamental research, 5(1): 58-62 (in Russian). https://applied-research.ru/ru/article/view?id=5277

44. Y.B. Kirsta, N.Y. Kurepina, O.V. Lovtskaya, 2014, Decomposition of meteorological fields in the Northern Hemisphere: 2. Determination of zones of maximum climate destabilization. International journal of applied and fundamental research, 5(1): 63-68 (in Russian). https://applied-research.ru/ru/article/view?id=5278

45. Y.B. Kirsta, B.Y. Kirsta, 2014. The Information-Physical Principle of Evolutionary Systems Formation, System-Analytical Modeling of Ecosystems, 2d ed. Altai State University Publishing House, Barnaul, 283 р. (in Russian)

46. Y.B. Kirsta, A.V. Puzanov, 2014. Impact of arable farming on suspended solids discharge. Izvestia of Samara Scientific Center of the Russian Academy of Sciences, 16, N 1(3): 866-871 (in Russian). https://doi.org/10.24412/Fd1kGOmNGZY

47. Y.B. Kirsta, 2014. New world dynamics: I. Hierarchical dynamics of biosphere and sociosphere and their influence on climate. National Security and Strategic Planning, 4(8): 8-15 (in Russian). https://futurepubl.ru/en/nauka/article/35655/view

48. Y.B. Kirsta, 2015. New world dynamics: II. System analysis of the USA, Russia, China, Israel as social-biological systems and a long-term forecast of their development. National Security and Strategic Planning, 1(9): 4-10 (in Russian). https://futurepubl.ru/en/nauka/article/35696/view

49. Y.B. Kirsta, A.V. Puzanov, 2015. System-analytical modeling of mountain rivers runoff. In: Fundamental Problems of Water and Water Resources: Proceedings of IV Russian Scientific Conference. Water Problems Institute RAS, Moscow, p. 73-76 (in Russian). https://www.elibrary.ru/item.asp?id=26025894&pff=1

50. Y.B. Kirsta, V.L. Orlov, V.F. Zadontsev, M.A. Gumirov, 2005. Laboratory workshops on the physical foundations of mechanics, molecular physics and thermodynamics, 3d Edition. Publishing House of Altai State Technical University, Barnaul, 142 р. (in Russian). http://new.elib.altstu.ru/eum/download/of/Kirsta-lpfiz.pdf

51. Y.B. Kirsta, 2015. Sensitivity of river flow models to environmental factors and its quantitative assessment. Izvestia of Samara Scientific Center of the Russian Academy of Sciences, 17, N 6: 97-103 (in Russian). https://cyberleninka.ru/article/n/chuvstvitelnost-modeley-rechnogo-stoka-k-faktoram-sredy-i-ee-kolichestvennaya-otsenka

52. Y.B. Kirsta, A.V. Puzanov, 2016. Modeling the hydrochemical runoff of mountain rivers. 1. Runoff of mineral nitrogen compounds. Izvestia of Samara Scientific Center of the Russian Academy of Sciences, 18, N 2(1): 96-100 (in Russian). https://cyberleninka.ru/article/n/modelirovanie-gidrohimicheskogo-stoka-gornyh-rek-1-stok-mineralnyh-soedineniy-azota

53. Y.B. Kirsta, 2016. Modeling the hydrochemical runoff of mountain rivers. 2. Assessment of the quality of mineral nitrogen runoff models. Izvestia of Samara Scientific Center of the Russian Academy of Sciences, 18, N 2(2): 408-412 (in Russian). https://cyberleninka.ru/article/n/modelirovanie-gidrohimicheskogo-stoka-gornyh-rek-2-otsenka-kachestva-modeley-stoka-mineralnogo-azota

54. Y.B. Kirsta, A.V. Puzanov, 2016. Modeling the hydrochemical runoff of mountain rivers. 1. Phosphate runoff model. Bulletin of Altai State Agricultural University, 6(140): 78-84 (in Russian). https://cyberleninka.ru/article/n/modelirovanie-gidrohimicheskogo-stoka-gornyh-rek-1-model-stoka-fosfatov

55. Y.B. Kirsta, 2016. Modeling the hydrochemical runoff of mountain rivers. 2. Assessment of the quality of the phosphate runoff model. Bulletin of Altai State Agricultural University, 6(140): 85-91 (in Russian). https://cyberleninka.ru/article/n/modelirovanie-gidrohimicheskogo-stoka-gornyh-rek-2-otsenka-kachestva-modeli-stoka-fosfatov

56. Y.B. Kirsta, A.V. Puzanov, 2016. System-analytical modeling of water quality for mountain river runoff. In: International Scientific and Practical Conference "BRICS Water Forum", Moscow, September 29–30, 2016. http://bricswater.org/data/2016/10/20/1107835601/%D0%A1%D0%B5%D0%BA%D1%86%D0%B8%D1%8F%204_%20%D0%A6%D0%B5%D0%BB%D1%8B%D0%B9.pdf

57. Y.B. Kirsta, A.V. Puzanov, 2017. Long-term forecasting methodology for water and hydrochemical runoff of mountain rivers. CEUR Workshop Proceedings, 2033: 117-121. http://ceur-ws.org/Vol-2033/22_paper.pdf

58. Y.B. Kirsta, A.V. Puzanov, 2017. The sensitivity of hydrochemical runoff of mountain rivers to environmental factors. Izvestia of Samara Scientific Center of the Russian Academy of Sciences, 19, N 2(3): 458-462 (in Russian). https://cyberleninka.ru/article/n/chuvstvitelnost-gidrohimicheskogo-stoka-gornyh-rek-k-faktoram-sredy

59. Y.B. Kirsta, 2017. Towards the climatic safety of Russia and regulation of cyclones. National Security and Strategic Planning, 4(20): 79-84 (in Russian). https://futurepubl.ru/ru/nauka/article/35960/view

60. Y.B. Kirsta, 2018. Ensure viability of army and population under radioactive contamination of territory. National Security and Strategic Planning, 1(21): 141-147 (in Russian). https://futurepubl.ru/en/nauka/article/35984/view

61. Y.B. Kirsta, A.V. Puzanov, 2018. System-analytical modeling of the ion runoff of mountain rivers. Polzunovskiy Almanakh, 4: 113-117 (in Russian). http://elib.altstu.ru/journals/Files/pa2018_04/pdf/113Kirsta.pdf

62. Y.B. Kirsta, 2018. Assessing the sensitivity to environmental factors and the quality of the ion runoff model for rivers of the Altai-Sayan mountain country. Bulletin AB RGS [Izvestiya AO RGO], 3: 17-26 (in Russian). http://rgo-journal.ru/index.php/babrgs/article/view/57

63. Y.B. Kirsta, A.V. Puzanov, 2019. System-Analytical Simulation of Hydrochemical Runoff of Mountain Rivers: Case Study of Dissolved Iron. Water Resources, 46(2): 199–208. https://doi.org/10.1134/S0097807819020076

64. Y.B. Kirsta, O.V. Lovtskaya, A.V. Puzanov, 2019. The Forecast of Climate Changes in Altai-Sayan Mountain Country till 2030. CEUR Workshop Proceedings, 2534: 114-117. http://ceur-ws.org/Vol-2534/19_short_paper.pdf

65. Y.B. Kirsta, 2019. Assessment of the quality and sensitivity of mathematical models. Polzunovskiy Almanakh, 4: 70-73 (in Russian). http://elib.altstu.ru/journals/Files/archive/pa/2019/PA_4_2019.pdf

66. Y.B. Kirsta, O.V. Lovtskaya, 2020. Annual range of temperature and precipitation forecast for Altai-Sayan mountain country. Dynamics and Global Climate Change, 11(1): 16-23. https://doi.org/10.17816/edgcc34020

67. Y. Kirsta, A. Puzanov, T. Rozhdestvenskaya, 2020. Models for Describing Landscape Hydrochemical Discharge in Mountain Countries. In: Mirschel W, Terleev V, Wenkel KO (eds). Landscape Modelling and Decision Support. Innovations in Landscape Research. Springer, Cham, p. 163-178. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-37421-1_9

68. Y.B. Kirsta, O.V. Lovtskaya, 2020. Spatial year-ahead forecast of air temperature and precipitation in large mountain areas. SN Appl Sci, 2: 1044. https://doi.org/10.1007/s42452-020-2861-6

69. Y.B. Kirsta, A.V. Puzanov, 2020. System-analytical modelling: 1. Development of regional models for mountain river runoff. Eurasian Journal of Mathematical and Computer Applications, 8(2): 69-85. https://doi.org/10.32523/2306-6172-2020-8-2-69-85

70. Y.B. Kirsta, 2020. System-analytical modelling: 2. Assessment of runoff model sensitivity to environmental factor variations. Eurasian Journal of Mathematical and Computer Applications, 8(3): 67-77. https://doi.org/10.32523/2306-6172-2020-8-3-67-77

71. Y.B. Kirsta, O.V. Lovtskaya, 2020. Universal simulation model of long-term flood forecast for mountain rivers. Bulletin AB RGS [Izvestiya AO RGO], 1(55): 34-52 (in Russian). https://doi.org/10.24411/2410-1192-2020-15604

72. Y.B. Kirsta, 2020. Quantitative assessment of input factor contributions to the error of mathematical models. Polzunovskiy Almanakh, 4: 39-42 (in Russian). http://elib.altstu.ru/journals/Files/archive/pa/2020/PA_4_2020.pdf

73. Y.B. Kirsta, O.V. Lovtskaya, 2021. Good-quality long-term forecast of spring-summer flood runoff for mountain rivers. Water Resources Management, 35: 811–825. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11269-020-02742-x

74. Y.B. Kirsta, 2021. Spiritual state of modern civilization. National Security and Strategic Planning, 1(33): 14-24 (in Russian). https://doi.org/10.37468/2307-1400-2021-1-14-24

75. Y.B. Kirsta, A.V. Puzanov, 2021. System-Analytical Modeling of Water Quality for Mountain River Runoff. In: B.W. Pandey and S. Anand (eds.). Water Science and Sustainability. Chapter 7. Springer, Nature. – Sustainable Development Goals Series. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-57488-8_7

76. Y.B. Kirsta, A.V. Puzanov, T.A. Rozhdestvenskaya, M.P. Peleneva, 2021. Long-term forecast of heavy metals content in wheat grain under changing climate conditions. CEUR Workshop Proceedings, 3006: 463-470. https://doi.org/10.25743/SDM.2021.58.67.055

77. Y.B. Kirsta, D.Y. Kirsta, 2021. Towards cancer theory – Circadian and 11-day biological clocks. Middle East J Cancer, 12(4): 573-583. https://doi.org/10.30476/mejc.2021.85055.1255

78. Y.B. Kirsta, I.A. Troshkova, 2022. The influence of winter-spring temperatures and precipitation on the spring flood wave. Eurasian Journal of Mathematical and Computer Applications, 10(2): 4-10. https://doi.org/10.32523/2306-6172-2022-10-2-4-10

79. Y.B. Kirsta, I.A. Troshkova, 2022. Influence of meteorological conditions on the maximum spring floods of mountain rivers. In: International Conference and Early Career Scientists School on Environmental Observations, Modeling and Information Systems “ENVIROMIS-2022”. Tomsk, Russia, p. 261-264. http://www.scert.ru/f/580/MainPart/Enviromis-22.pdf

80. Y.B. Kirsta, A.V. Puzanov, T.A. Rozhdestvenskaya, 2022. Simple methodology for long-term prediction of grain quality. Bulletin of the Tomsk Polytechnic University. Geo Assets Engineering, 333(9): 198-208 (in Russian). https://doi.org/10.18799/24131830/2022/9/3699

81. Puzanov A.V., Rozhdestvenskaya T.A., Kirsta Y.B., Elchininova O.A., et al., 2022. Heavy metals and arsenic in soils of agricultural landscapes of Altai Krai and their content in spring wheat grain. Materials of the IV All-Russian Scientific Conference with international participation. – Barnaul. Vol 2, pp. 107-114. https://www.elibrary.ru/item.asp?id=49821182&pff=1

82. Kirsta Y.B., Troshkova I.A., 2023. High-performance forecasting of spring flood in mountain river basins with complex landscape structure. Water, 15(6), 1080. https://doi.org/10.3390/w15061080

83. Puzanov A.V., Rozhdestvenskaya T.A., Kirsta Y.B., Elchininova O.A., et al., 2023. Microelements in the agricultural landscapes of the Altai region. The Journal of Soils and Environment, 6(1), e188. https://doi.org/10.31251/pos.v6i1.188

PARTICIPATION IN RESEARCH PROJECTS

* The Study of Vegetation Production of Desert Ecosystems in Connection with Their Conservation, Improvement and Usage, 1978-1982. Financial Support: State Committee on Science and Technology

* Project F11 on the Problems of Desertification, Ashkhabad, 1982. Fin. Sup.: United Nations Environment Program

* Development of Methods of Yield Increase in Desert Pastures Using the System of Monitoring as a Basis, 1982-1985. Fin. Sup.: State Committee on Science and Technology

* The Complex Forecasting of the Development of Arid and Semiarid zone of the USSR for 1991-2010, 1986-1990. Fin. Sup.: State Committee on Science and Technology

* The Program of Biospheric and Ecological Research of the USSR Academy of Sciences for the period until 2015, 1990-1991. Fin. Sup.: State Committee on Science and Technology

* Development of Methods of Modelling of Energy-Mass Exchange Processes in "Soil-vegetation-atmosphere" System as a Basis for Modelling Hydrological Cycle and Agroecosystems, 1991-1995. Fin. Sup.: Siberian Branch of the Russian Academy of Sciences

* Development of Methods of Yield Modelling and Forecasting as a Basis for Ecosystem Monitoring, 1996-1998. Fin. Sup.: Siberian Branch of the Russian Academy of Sciences

* Development of Methods for Complex Estimation of Humidity Variability and Agroclimatic Resources, 1999-2001. Fin. Sup.: Siberian Branch of the Russian Academy of Sciences

* Effect of regional manifestations of global climate changes and human activity on desertification in West Siberia, 2002-2003. Fin. Sup.: Grant of Federal goal-oriented program “Universities of Russia”

* Ecological and geographical analysis of river basin state under climate and general humidity changes for nature management optimization, 2002-2003. . Fin. Sup.: Grant of Russian Foundation for Basic Research

* The comparative analysis of problem medical-social situations in Russia (Altai Krai) and Republic of Belarus, 2005-2007. Fin. Sup.: Grant of Russian Foundation for Humanities

* To study the hydrological, hydrochemical and hydrobiological processes in the basins of Siberian rivers, lakes and reservoirs, as well as their effect on regional water resources status in modern conditions, 2002-2004. Fin. Sup.: Siberian Branch of the Russian Academy of Sciences

* Assessment of water resources of the Upper Ob basin on the basis of landscape-indicative studies and monitoring. Forecasting of natural and anthropogenic emergencies, 2004-2006. Fin. Sup.: Siberian Branch of the Russian Academy of Sciences

* Integrated studies of natural and climatic changes and associated risks of environmental management in Siberia, 2008-2009. Fin. Sup.: Siberian Branch of the Russian Academy of Sciences

* Formation, transformation and use of water resources, development of scientific basis for their protection and management based on the basin approach (taking into account natural, anthropogenic factors and environmental management features), 2010-2012. Fin. Sup.: Siberian Branch of the Russian Academy of Sciences

* Analysis and forecast of forcing effect manifestations in the rhythm of meteorological fields of the Northern hemisphere of the Earth (Interdisciplinary integration project N 70), 2012-2014. Fin. Sup.: Siberian Branch of the Russian Academy of Sciences

* Biogeochemical and soil-hydrological processes in watersheds and their influence on the formation of hydrochemical runoff in natural and anthropogenic landscapes of Siberia, 2013-2016. Fin. Sup.: Siberian Branch of the Russian Academy of Sciences

* Biogeochemical features of terrestrial ecosystems in Siberian river basins and their impact on the quality of natural waters, 2017-2020. Fin. Sup.: Siberian Branch of the Russian Academy of Sciences

* Assessment of macro-and microelements, heavy metals, radionuclides, pesticides and rocket fuel components in forest and agricultural landscapes of Altai under climate change and man’s impact, 2018-2020. Fin. Sup.: Grant of Russian Foundation for Basic Research

* Assessment of the environmental and biogeochemical situation in the river basins of Siberia under the conditions of climate change and anthropogenic impact, 2021-2025. Fin. Sup.: Siberian Branch of the Russian Academy of Sciences

* Medium-term forecast of average, maximum and minimum water runoff during spring flood on rivers of the Altai-Sayan mountain country, 2022-2023. Fin. Sup.: Grant of Russian Science Foundation

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